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Donovan Mitchell

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan
Mitchell

Usage Spike
34.4 PRA avg
+0.8 vs 30-game avg → Stable

Usage Spike. 20.4 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

High game-to-game variance. Ceiling play with risk.

→ Stable

INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

Signals

Signals are derived from the last 5 games compared against a 30-game rolling baseline. Context factors in schedule, matchup, and usage.

MOMENTUM
Usage Spike

20.4 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

RISK
High Volatility

PRA swings widely game-to-game. Output is hard to predict.

CONTEXT
Road Game
PROJECTION
44% 30+ pts

Full rest entering tonight and elevated shot volume lift the ceiling; high output volatility is the main drag.

Rest Advantage
Neutral Matchup
Standard road game.

PERFORMANCE RECORD

Last 5 appearances
PRA per game 30-game avg (33.6)
40
PRA
26p · 6r · 8a
10/22 FG · 2x3
1s 1b · 31m
17 May
37
PRA
29p · 5r · 3a
12/23 FG · 4x3
6s 1b 4to · 41m
19 May
31
PRA
26p · 4r · 1a
8/18 FG · 2x3
1b 1to · 39m
21 May
28
PRA
23p · 1r · 4a
9/21 FG · 3x3
3s 5to · 38m
23 May
36
PRA
31p · 4r · 1a
9/18 FG · 5x3
1s 4to · 32m
25 May
Date PTS REB AST PRA FG 3P STL BLK TO MIN
17 May 26 6 8 40 10/22 2/6 1 1 0 31
19 May 29 5 3 37 12/23 4/11 6 1 4 41
21 May 26 4 1 31 8/18 2/7 0 1 1 39
23 May 23 1 4 28 9/21 3/10 3 0 5 38
25 May 31 4 1 36 9/18 5/9 1 0 4 32

What NLTS sees in this data

Usage Spike: 20.4 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume. Last game PRA was +0.8 vs the 30-game baseline (33.6).

Averages from last 5 games
27
PTS
4
REB
3.4
AST
34.4
PRA
TRUE SHOOTING ⓘ
58.3%
League avg ~57.5% · Last 30 games
USAGE RATE ⓘ
31.9%
High Load · Last 30 games
CONSISTENCY ⓘ
Volatile
PRA variance · Last 10 games

PLAYER ANALYSIS

→ Stable 3 months ago

  • Donovan Mitchell's recent performance shows a concerning dip, averaging 23 points, 4 assists, and 5 rebounds per game while struggling with shooting percentages at 27.8% from the field and 25% from three-point range.

  • Although there are no recent headlines to suggest an external factor impacting his play, the decline in efficiency could be indicative of increased defensive attention or fatigue as the season progresses.

VERDICT

As the Cavaliers prepare for a matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Mitchell will need to find a way to regain his shooting touch to help his team secure a critical victory.

Field goals

FGM 10
FGA 22
FG% 45.5%
TS% 58.3%

3-point shots

3PM 2
3PA 6
3P% 33.3%

Free throws

FTM 4
FTA 6
FT% 66.7%

Other statistics

Steals 1
Blocks 1
Turnovers 0
Fouls 0
Minutes 31
+/- 17
USG% 31.9%

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