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James Harden

James
Harden

Above-Baseline Output
33 PRA avg
+2 vs 30-game avg → Stable

Above-Baseline Output. +10–20% vs baseline.

Production near baseline. No strong signal either way.

→ Stable

INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

Signals are derived from the last 5 games compared against a 30-game rolling baseline. Context factors in schedule, matchup, and usage.

Above-Baseline Output

+10–20% vs baseline.

No Volatility Detected

Tracking within ±10% of season baseline

Road Game
33% 30+ pts

Full rest entering tonight and above-baseline last game set up an above-baseline projection.

Rest Advantage
Neutral Matchup
Standard road game.

PERFORMANCE RECORD

PRA per game 30-game avg (31)
39
28p · 4r · 7a
8/17 FG · 5x3
3s 1b 2to · 34m
05 Apr
30
21p · 5r · 4a
6/23 FG · 4x3
2s 2to · 34m
08 Apr
25
20p · 0r · 5a
6/13 FG · 2x3
5to · 25m
10 Apr
34
22p · 2r · 10a
8/18 FG · 4x3
2s 4to · 33m
18 Apr
37
28p · 5r · 4a
9/14 FG · 3x3
5s 1b 5to · 35m
20 Apr
Date PTS REB AST PRA FG 3P STL BLK TO MIN
05 Apr 28 4 7 39 8/17 5/11 3 1 2 34
08 Apr 21 5 4 30 6/23 4/10 2 0 2 34
10 Apr 20 0 5 25 6/13 2/6 0 0 5 25
18 Apr 22 2 10 34 8/18 4/7 2 0 4 33
20 Apr 28 5 4 37 9/14 3/8 5 1 5 35

What NLTS sees in this data

Above-Baseline Output: +10–20% vs baseline. Last game PRA was +2 vs the 30-game baseline (31).

Averages from last 5 games
23.8
3.2
6
33
61.6%
League avg ~57.5% · Last 30 games
31.9%
High Load · Last 30 games
Moderate
PRA variance · Last 10 games

PLAYER ANALYSIS

→ Stable
  • James Harden is currently averaging 23.8 points, 6 assists, and 3.2 rebounds per game, showcasing a notable uptick in performance with a 6% increase in his points, rebounds, and assists combined over the season average.

  • As he transitions into the role of the Cavs' closer, his efficiency—evidenced by a 45.6% field goal percentage and 42.7% from three—aligns with the team's emphasis on pace and movement under Kenny Atkinson.

Looking ahead, expect Harden to continue his upward trend, potentially exceeding his averages as he solidifies his role in the closing moments of tight games.

FGM 8
FGA 17
FG% 47.1%
TS% 61.6%
3PM 5
3PA 11
3P% 45.5%
FTM 7
FTA 8
FT% 87.5%
Steals 3
Blocks 1
Turnovers 2
Fouls 0
Minutes 34
+/- 12
USG% 31.9%

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