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Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets

Nikola
Jokic

Usage Spike
46 PRA avg
-2.7 vs 30-game avg → Stable

Usage Spike. 18 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

High game-to-game variance. Ceiling play with risk.

→ Stable

INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

Signals

Signals are derived from the last 5 games compared against a 30-game rolling baseline. Context factors in schedule, matchup, and usage.

MOMENTUM
Usage Spike

18 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume.

RISK
High Volatility

PRA swings widely game-to-game. Output is hard to predict.

CONTEXT
Road Game
PROJECTION
35% 30+ pts

Full rest entering tonight and elevated shot volume lift the ceiling; high output volatility is the main drag.

Rest Advantage
Neutral Matchup
Standard road game.

PERFORMANCE RECORD

Last 5 appearances
PRA per game 30-game avg (48.7)
62
PRA
35p · 14r · 13a
15/31 FG · 1x3
5s 2b 6to · 43m
06 Apr
40
PRA
14p · 16r · 10a
5/8 FG · 0x3
2s 2to · 31m
08 Apr
32
PRA
23p · 8r · 1a
7/12 FG · 1x3
1b · 18m
12 Apr
49
PRA
25p · 13r · 11a
11/19 FG · 2x3
1s 5to · 40m
18 Apr
47
PRA
24p · 15r · 8a
8/20 FG · 1x3
1b 3to · 40m
20 Apr
Date PTS REB AST PRA FG 3P STL BLK TO MIN
06 Apr 35 14 13 62 15/31 1/5 5 2 6 43
08 Apr 14 16 10 40 5/8 0/1 2 0 2 31
12 Apr 23 8 1 32 7/12 1/2 0 1 0 18
18 Apr 25 13 11 49 11/19 2/7 1 0 5 40
20 Apr 24 15 8 47 8/20 1/7 0 1 3 40

What NLTS sees in this data

Usage Spike: 18 FGA/game over the last 5 games. Elevated shot volume. Last game PRA was -2.7 vs the 30-game baseline (48.7).

Averages from last 5 games
24.2
PTS
13.2
REB
8.6
AST
46
PRA
TRUE SHOOTING ⓘ
62.5%
League avg ~57.5% · Last 30 games
USAGE RATE ⓘ
28.9%
High Load · Last 30 games
CONSISTENCY ⓘ
Volatile
PRA variance · Last 10 games

PLAYER ANALYSIS

→ Stable 16 hours ago

  • Nikola Jokic has maintained impressive averages of 27.4 points, 9.6 assists, and 11.8 rebounds per game, while shooting 55.8% from the field, indicating consistent offensive efficiency.

  • With a significant number of players, including MVPs, sitting out as the season wraps, Jokic's participation becomes crucial for his eligibility for end-of-year awards, as highlighted by the Denver Post.

VERDICT

Given his current form and the stakes involved, expect Jokic to deliver a strong performance in the upcoming game against the Spurs.

Field goals

FGM 15
FGA 31
FG% 48.4%
TS% 62.5%

3-point shots

3PM 1
3PA 5
3P% 20.0%

Free throws

FTM 4
FTA 4
FT% 100.0%

Other statistics

Steals 5
Blocks 2
Turnovers 6
Fouls 0
Minutes 43
+/- 5
USG% 28.9%

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